.: Vita Downloads

Dr. Harry Fair, Executive Director

.: Vitas

Dr. Thomas Blau is a consultant to the National Defense University (NDU), where he runs his national security seminar series for the General Accounting Office (13 years). He was on the regular faculty at NDU, 2001-2013. He taught courses on futures analysis and national security decision-making. He also served in management at NDU, including in curriculum support to two Middle Eastern war colleges. He continues to provide support to the NonProliferation Policy Education Center on a project to analyze intelligence-policy interactions in past cases of proliferation, aimed at inferring rules for future cases. He also is an adjunct faculty member at Johns Hopkins University, Center for Advanced Governmental Studies. He participated in the Good Judgment Project, and has worked in the Departments of Defense and Energy, and on the staff of Senate Select Committee on Intelligence. He also has worked in international aerospace business. He has published on missile defense, energy and trade security, infrastructure vulnerability, the aviation industry, and applying social theory to Iraq and Afghanistan. He studied defense policy and economics at the University of Chicago, earning a PhD.

Dr. Dawna Coutant is a social psychologist with an emphasis in how to bridge the gap between scientific research and its implementation by governmental and civic groups.. As a Visiting Professor at the University of Neuchatel, Switzerland, Institut de psychologie du travail et des organizations, she taught a graduate course in Cross-Cultural Organizational Psychology. While head of the Social Psychology Department at the University of Hawaii at Hilo, she assisted Hawai'i Volcanoes National Park (U.S. National Park Service) in implementing science-based activities for the public. As the Assistant Director of Undergraduate Leadership Programs at the Center for Public Leadership Studies, George Bush School of Government and Public Service, Texas A&M University, she coordinated the Eisenhower Leadership Development Program, including supervising group projects in which the students act as policy consultants for local government and community groups. Dr. Coutant also was a 100th percentile forecaster with the Good Judgment Project (GJP) in 2014 – 2015. This team won IARPA's Aggregative Contingent Estimation competition for the most accurate forecasts of geopolitical questions. She typically has been ranking in the top 2% of forecasters in the current Good Judgment Open (http://Gjopen.com) Geopolitical and Economist Magazine forecasting challenges.

Carolyn Meinel currently leading ISIT's Natural Language Processing IR&D effort. She has worked with Dr. Fair and others at DARPA as a Science and Engineering Technical Advisor, also for Adm. John Poindexter's Information Assurance Office at DARPA; professional forecaster and futurist since 1975; is an award winning science writer. Meinel was a 100th percentile forecaster with the Good Judgment Project in 2014 – 2015. In 2017, she achieved third place out of 1910 participants in Good Judgement Open's Hybrid Forecasting Competition, and made the top 1% in its CFA Society Los Angeles Finance & Economics (2017) challenge, its GJP Classic Geopolitical Challenge (2018), and North Korea and Global Security challenge. She also has authored many research papers, magazine articles and books.

Graham Morehead is Senior Computational Data Scientist, CloudMedx - Clinical AI Platform; and is collaborating with Carolyn Meinel on ISIT's Natural Language Processing IR&D.

Dmitry Sarin is one of the world's top forecasters of geopolitical and economics events. He always beats Meinel in these competitions, but she forgives him :) Recently he participated in the control group "Carbon" for IARPA's Hybrid Forecasting Competition. He surprised nobody by coming in number one in Carbon, which as the control group that meant that he had no access to machine intelligence to aid his forecasts. What did surprise everyone was that he also beat everyone on the hybrid foreasting teams, and by a long stretch. He currently is a Trading Analyst at EP UK Investments.

Update: 01-30-2019